CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for September 29 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

CA River Plate 2.43

X 3.01

Atletico Fenix Montevideo 2.81

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Important information for your tip for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CA River Plate scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 CA River Plate matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CA River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Fenix Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 CA River Plate has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Fenix Montevideo playing at home.

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Analysis from CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Is betting on CA River Plate worth it?

🔵 CA River Plate: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $572.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$28.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $502.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$247.50.

Is betting on Atletico Fenix Montevideo worth it?

🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $615.40;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CA River Plate and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 CA River Plate.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CA River Plate.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA River Plate x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.