CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for November 10 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 10/11/2025 00:30 |
CA Tigre2.90 |
X 2.75 |
Estudiantes LP ![]() 2.65 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
The main points for the tip for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP:
👉 If you had bet $100 on CA Tigre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CA Tigre scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for CA Tigre vs Estudiantes LP?
Lets analyze the match between CA Tigre and Estudiantes LP at the José Dellagiovanna Stadium, which is Tigres usual stadium, thus ensuring the home advantage for them. ⚽
📊 Recent statistics show that Tigre has a balanced home performance with an average of 1 goal scored and conceded per game, along with a recent record of more draws (3) than wins (1) in the last 5 home games. Meanwhile, Estudiantes has a similar offensive average (1 goal per game), but concedes more goals away (average of 2 goals conceded). The visitor also has a higher average possession (56% vs. 49%) and more shots, indicating greater control of the game.
📰 The news indicates that Tigre is in the playoff zone of Zone A, fighting for a spot in the Copa Sudamericana, while Estudiantes is close in the annual table and needs a win to keep their chances alive. The atmosphere is tense for both teams with high motivation to win.
📈 In the league table, this direct fight for qualification increases pressure on both sides. Tigre plays at its traditional stadium “El Monumental,” where they tend to be competitive despite recent results not being very impressive in terms of wins.
Analyzing the median odds:
– Tigre win: 2.88
– Draw: 2.8
– Estudiantes win: 2.7
Converting these odds into normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately:
– Tigre win probability ~34%
– Draw ~35%
– Estudiantes win ~37%
Considering the weak defensive stats of the visitor away and the need for the home team to play strongly on their field, my adjusted estimate would be:
– CA Tigre win: 36%
– Draw: 30%
– Estudiantes LP win: 34%
Calculating fair odds based on this analysis:
Tigre win = ~2.78
Draw = ~3.33
Estudiantes LP win = ~2.94
Compared to the final odds offered by bookmakers:
Tigre win – Final odds are higher (3.6), suggesting potential value.
Draw – Odds close to fair.
Estudiantes win – Odds lower than fair (~2.375 vs. ~2.94), indicating less value.
The Bets Kenya model suggests negative bets for all markets (-4% to -6%), probably due to bookmaker margins or internal adjustments.
My recommendation? Betting on CA Tigres victory might have a positive expected value due to the high odds offered by the market against their technical balance and local advantage 🏠💪.
In summary:
Tip: CA Tigre victory
Reason: Match at their own stadium “El Monumental,” high necessity for both teams but better local defense combined with attractive final odds above the fair value calculated.
📰 News reinforce the intense motivation of the teams for a playoff spot; this should make the match quite contested but favorable to the home team due to the home advantage.
📈 Both are close in the table but Tigre maintains a slight moral advantage playing in front of their fans.
Bet responsibly! 😉
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Analysis from CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 10 of November
🏟️ CA Tigre X Estudiantes LP – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 10 of November, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 CA Tigre – Winning probability: 23.70% | Fair line: 4.22
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.12% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 43.18% | Fair line: 2.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Tigre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1434883 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Latest news about CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
CA Tigre: CA Tigre played in the 14th round of the Clausura on November 3, 2025, against Belgrano at Julio César Villagra Stadium, and the match ended in a 0-0 draw, with Joaquín Laso captaining the team; the result kept Tigre within the playoff zone, occupying eighth place in Zone A with a record of 13 goals scored and 10 conceded – an average of one goal per game – putting them in contention for a spot in the Copa Sudamericana and setting up a playoff match as the eighth-placed team in Zone A against the top team Rosario Central from Zone B.
Estudiantes de La Plata: Estudiantes de La Plata entered the final stretch of the 2025 Clausura Tournament in fifth place with 21 points, while they have 42 points in the annual table, just four points behind Tigre, needing a win in their next home game against Argentinos Juniors to keep playoff hopes alive and preserve their chance for a Copa Sudamericana spot; coached by Eduardo Domínguez, the team recovered from a 2-1 home defeat to Boca Juniors, which involved two controversial penalties and a red card issued by VAR, prompting Domínguez and goalkeeper Fernando Muslera to publicly criticize the refereeing, and now the team is focused on securing three points against Tigre before closing the season against Argentinos, with the club still proud of their recent Copa Argentina victory in 2023.
Table analysis for the game between CA Tigre and Estudiantes LP
CA Tigre: CA Tigre is currently in 8th place in Group A of the Argentine Professional League, with 19 points from 14 matches, including 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses. The team has a positive goal difference (+2). They are within the playoff qualification zone but very close to the teams just below. A victory in this match would be crucial to stay firmly in the playoff zone and increase their chances of qualification, reducing pressure in upcoming rounds. A draw might be a tolerable result to stay close to the leading pack, but a loss could cause a drop in the standings, leaving the team in a more delicate situation.
Estudiantes LP: Estudiantes LP is in 5th place in Group A, with 21 points, 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a slightly positive goal difference (+1). They are comfortably within the playoff zone but still need to gather more points to solidify their position among the top teams and aim for a better placement in the next phase. A win against Tigre will keep the team in a good position, possibly climbing the group depending on other results, while a draw can be considered reasonable. A loss might diminish their chances of direct qualification.
Summary: The match between CA Tigre and Estudiantes LP is of high importance for both teams, being decisive for Tigre to stay in the playoff zone and for Estudiantes to confirm their position among the qualified. The confrontation significantly impacts the objectives of both teams in this race for a spot in the next stage of the championship. ⚽🔥
Tips for the Match Odds market for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
Should you bet on CA Tigre?
🔵 CA Tigre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$304.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $577.50;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$92.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Estudiantes LP?
🔴 Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $709.50;
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$139.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Handicaps analysis for the match CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CA Tigre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CA Tigre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 CA Tigre.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 CA Tigre.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA Tigre x Estudiantes LP
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

CA Tigre