Cacereno x CD Guadalajara Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Cacereno 1.88

X 3.20

CD Guadalajara 3.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara

Some important points for the tip for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cacereno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-185.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cacereno scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Guadalajara conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Cacereno is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cacereno x CD Guadalajara?

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Analysis from Cacereno x CD Guadalajara for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Cacereno x CD Guadalajara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara

Should you bet on Cacereno?

🔵 Cacereno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $457.60;
• And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$22.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on CD Guadalajara worth it?

🔴 CD Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cacereno x CD Guadalajara

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cacereno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cacereno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Cacereno. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cacereno x CD Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.