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Home Β» Predictions Β» Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd Betting tips for January 7 in Wales Championship South
Tuesday, 07 January 2025, 19h30 Wales Championship South
Caerau Ely Caerau Ely
PREDICTION No tip
Pontypridd Utd Pontypridd Utd
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Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd Betting tips for January 7 in Wales Championship South

Our betting tip for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd, Tuesday, 7/1/2025
πŸ“… 7/1/2025
19:30
Caerau Ely Caerau Ely
3.20
X
3.70
Pontypridd Utd Pontypridd Utd
1.93

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd

Important information for your tip for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pontypridd Utd in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Caerau Ely scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pontypridd Utd scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Pontypridd Utd has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd for the Wales Championship South – 7 of January

🏟️ Caerau Ely X Pontypridd Utd – Wales Championship South
πŸ“… 7 of January, 2025 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ Caerau Ely – Winning probability: 25.18% | Fair line: 3.97
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.36% | Fair line: 4.28
πŸ”΄ Pontypridd Utd – Winning probability: 51.46% | Fair line: 1.94
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Caerau Ely
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caerau Ely and Pontypridd Utd.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243026 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd

Is it worth betting on Caerau Ely?

πŸ”΅ Caerau Ely: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$149.00.

Should you bet on Pontypridd Utd?

πŸ”΄ Pontypridd Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $474.30;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$15.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Caerau Ely
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Caerau Ely, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Caerau Ely.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Caerau Ely.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caerau Ely x Pontypridd Utd

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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