Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd Betting tips for January 14 in Wales Premier League
📅 14/1/2025 19:45 |
Caernarfon Town 1.98 |
X 3.49 |
Flint Town Utd 3.26 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd:
🔮 Caernarfon Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caernarfon Town, you can win up to $990.00!
Important information for your tip for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caernarfon Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0. |
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Analysis from Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd for the Wales Premier League – 14 of January
🏟️ Caernarfon Town X Flint Town Utd – Wales Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1245823 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
Is betting on Caernarfon Town worth it?
🔵 Caernarfon Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 640 times – profiting $627.20;
- And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $398.40;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$441.60.
Is it worth betting on Flint Town Utd?
🔴 Flint Town Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $429.40
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$380.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caernarfon Town
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Caernarfon Town and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Caernarfon Town.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Caernarfon Town.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caernarfon Town x Flint Town Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.