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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Caldas SC x Academica Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 17h30 Portugal Liga 3
Caldas SC Caldas SC
PREDICTION No tip
Academica Academica
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Caldas SC x Academica Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Caldas SC x Academica, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
17:30
Caldas SC Caldas SC
2.70
X
3.11
Academica Academica
2.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caldas SC x Academica:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Caldas SC x Academica

Some important points for the tip for Caldas SC x Academica:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Caldas SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Academica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Academica scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Caldas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Academica has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Caldas SC x Academica?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Caldas SC x Academica for the Portugal Liga 3 – 12 of January

🏟️ Caldas SC X Academica – Portugal Liga 3
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 17:30
πŸ”΅ Caldas SC – Winning probability: 32.24% | Fair line: 3.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.81% | Fair line: 4.2
πŸ”΄ Academica – Winning probability: 43.96% | Fair line: 2.27
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Caldas SC x Academica right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caldas SC x Academica

Should you bet on Caldas SC?

πŸ”΅ Caldas SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$136.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $506.40;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$253.60.

Should you bet on Academica?

πŸ”΄ Academica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$34.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caldas SC x Academica

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caldas SC x Academica

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Caldas SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Caldas SC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Academica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caldas SC x Academica

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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