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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Liga 3
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h00 Portugal Liga 3
Caldas SC Caldas SC
PREDICTION No tip
Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha
Don't miss this prediction!

Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
16:00
Caldas SC Caldas SC
1.88
X
3.28
Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha
3.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha

Some important points for the tip for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Caldas SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-383.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sporting Covilha in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Caldas SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting Covilha, Caldas SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Sporting Covilha matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Caldas SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Caldas SC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sporting Covilha playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha:

Analysis from Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha for the Portugal Liga 3 – 30 of November

🏟️ Caldas SC X Sporting Covilha – Portugal Liga 3
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ Caldas SC – Winning probability: 51.54% | Fair line: 1.94
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.58% | Fair line: 3.38
πŸ”΄ Sporting Covilha – Winning probability: 18.88% | Fair line: 5.3
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Caldas SC and Sporting Covilha.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha

Should you bet on Caldas SC?

πŸ”΅ Caldas SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $457.60
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$22.40.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$16.00.

Is it worth betting on Sporting Covilha?

πŸ”΄ Sporting Covilha: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $522.50
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$287.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Caldas SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Caldas SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Caldas SC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Sporting Covilha.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caldas SC x Sporting Covilha

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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