| ๐
17/1/2022 16:00 |
 Cameroon5.75 |
X 3.36 |
Cape Verde Islands  1.66 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands:
๐ฎ Cameroon wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cameroon, you can win up to $2875.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands:
Analysis from Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands for the Africa Cup of Nations – 17 of January
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๐๏ธ Cameroon X Cape Verde Islands – Africa Cup of Nations |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288303 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands
Is it worth betting on Cameroon?
๐ต Cameroon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $1377.50;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$667.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $637.20;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$92.80.
Should you bet on Cape Verde Islands?
๐ด Cape Verde Islands: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $290.40
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$269.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cameroon
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cameroon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Cameroon.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Cameroon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cameroon x Cape Verde Islands
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
