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Canada x Jamaica Betting tips for November 22 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Canada x Jamaica, Wednesday, 22/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2023
00:30
Canada Canada
1.50
X
3.90
Jamaica Jamaica
5.90

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Canada x Jamaica:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Canada wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Canada, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Canada x Jamaica:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jamaica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-22.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Jamaica, Canada scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Canada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Jamaica has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Canada has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Jamaica.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Canada x Jamaica

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Summary

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Analysis from Canada x Jamaica for the CONCACAF Nations League – 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Canada X Jamaica – CONCACAF Nations League
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2023 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Canada – Winning probability: 77.92% | Fair line: 1.28
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.39% | Fair line: 6.1
๐Ÿ”ด Jamaica – Winning probability: 5.69% | Fair line: 17.56
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Canada
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Canada x Jamaica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Canada x Jamaica

Should you bet on Canada?

๐Ÿ”ต Canada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$376.00.

Is it worth betting on Jamaica?

๐Ÿ”ด Jamaica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $294.00
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$646.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Canada x Jamaica

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Canada
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Canada x Jamaica

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Canada, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Canada. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Canada x Jamaica

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves