Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara Betting tips for November 9 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 01:00

Cancun FC 1.97

X 3.45

Universidad Guadalajara 3.27

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara:

🔮 Cancun FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cancun FC, you can win up to $985.00!

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Important information for your tip for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cancun FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0.
👉 Cancun FC did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Universidad Guadalajara conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Cancun FC vs Universidad Guadalajara?

Lets analyze the match between Cancún FC and Universidad Guadalajara, which will take place at the Estadio Olímpico Andrés Quintana Roo, home of Cancún FC. The stadium is modern and provides a favorable environment for the home team, which has shown excellent defensive performance in recent home games, with 0 goals conceded in the last 5 matches.

📈 Table analysis: Cancún FC is in fifth place with a good record (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), while Universidad Guadalajara also seeks to establish itself after a good previous campaign. The need for victory is clear for both to maintain or improve their positions on the table.

Cancún FC has an average of 2 goals scored at home per game and has not conceded goals in recent matches at their stadium. Additionally, they have a higher offensive volume (14 shots per game) compared to the opponent (9). Universidad Guadalajara concedes more goals away from home (average 1.4) and has less ball possession (43% vs. 47% for Cancún). This indicates a clear tactical advantage for the home team.

PROBABILITY STAGE: The median odds indicate approximate normalized implied probabilities: Cancún win ~48%, draw ~29%, Universidad win ~23%. Considering Cancúns solid defensive stats at home and the efficient attack led by Luis “El Tiburón” Rodríguez, my fair estimate would be close to: Cancún win ~50%, draw ~28%, Universidad win ~22%.

Although the final odds favor the visiting team (3.8), my calculation of fair odds suggests greater value in betting on the home team due to their recent defensive and offensive consistency in direct confrontations.

📰 News: The arrival of coach Carlos de la Torre at Cancun FC brought tactical stability; reinforcements like Marco Hernández improved the defense; while Universidad Guadalajara bets on a mix of experience and young talents under new coach Jorge Almaguer — but they still seem to be adjusting this season.

Final analysis: I agree with the Bets Kenya club model favoring the home team’s victory — although it shows a moderate positive expected value (~4.23%), my analysis reinforces this choice as the safest given the recent robust statistics of the hosts combined with positive news about their updated technical structure.
Therefore, my recommendation is to bet on Cancun FC’s victory with a realistic yet optimistic outlook on their strong home performance! ⚽🔥

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 9 of November

When the best bet on Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434443 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

Cancún FC: Cancún FC, competing in the Liga de Expansión MX, started the Apertura 2025 with new coach Carlos de la Torre — appointed in July 2025 after José Luis Sánchezs departure — and currently holds fifth place with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, securing a comfortable position in the Play-In zone. The teams attack is led by forward Luis “El Tiburón” Rodríguez, who scored eight goals and provided three assists. Defensive improvements came with the signing of experienced defender Marco Hernández, from Atlante. Off the field, the club signed a three-year partnership with the Quintana Roo Tourism Secretariat and launched a youth academy collaboration with Universidad del Caribe, aiming to develop local talents for the 2026 season.

Universidad de Guadalajara: The Leones Negros of Universidad de Guadalajara continue competing in Liga de Expansión MX, playing their home matches at Estadio Tres de Marzo and focusing this season on a balance between experienced signings and youth talents. After finishing fifth in Clausura 2025, securing a playoff spot but being eliminated in the quarter-finals, the club announced the hiring of former national team midfielder Jorge Almaguer as head coach for the upcoming Apertura. They also confirmed the arrivals of midfielder José Hernández from Atlas and promising forward Luis Ramírez, a youth academy revelation, as part of a renewed effort to seek promotion to Liga MX.

Table analysis for the match between Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

Cancun FC: This match is extremely important for Cancun FC, who leads the league with 30 points. A victory would ensure they stay at the top of the table and increase their lead over direct competitors, which is essential to confirm their prominent position towards the playoffs and eventual promotion. With only a few rounds remaining, this direct confrontation is practically a “final” to maintain the top spot and gain an advantage in the final stretch.

Universidad Guadalajara: For Universidad Guadalajara, which is in 7th place with 18 points, this game is also quite important. They are currently securing a position among the playoff qualifiers, but the margin for the teams below is not comfortable. A win against the leader could boost their position in the table and ensure more security for the promotion race. Therefore, the game has significant strategic value for their ambitions.

Summary: This is an important matchup for both teams: for Cancun FC to maintain the lead and for Universidad Guadalajara to secure their playoff spot. A game with a direct impact on the promotion race! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

Should you bet on Cancun FC?

🔵 Cancun FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $552.90
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $612.50
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara worth it?

🔴 Universidad Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $408.60;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$411.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Cancun FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Cancun FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cancun FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Cancun FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cancun FC x Universidad Guadalajara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.