Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera C Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas, Saturday, 12/4/2025

📅 12/4/2025
18:30

Canuelas FC
2.30

X
2.80

Sportivo Barracas

3.17

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas

The main points for the tip for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Canuelas FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-34.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sportivo Barracas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Sportivo Barracas did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sportivo Barracas, Canuelas FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Canuelas FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sportivo Barracas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Canuelas FC has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Sportivo Barracas.
👉 It is not a good time for Sportivo Barracas as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas for the Argentina Primera C Metropolitana – 12 of April

🏟️ Canuelas FC X Sportivo Barracas – Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Canuelas FC – Winning probability: 43.64% | Fair line: 2.29
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.70% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 Sportivo Barracas – Winning probability: 23.66% | Fair line: 4.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Canuelas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1301554 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas

Is it a good idea to bet on Canuelas FC?

🔵 Canuelas FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $572.00;
And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$12.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sportivo Barracas?

🔴 Sportivo Barracas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 240 times – profiting $520.80;
And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$239.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Canuelas FC
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Canuelas FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Canuelas FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Canuelas FC x Sportivo Barracas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.