Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida Betting tips for July 5 in Venezuela Primera Division
| 📅 5/7/2025 22:00 |
 Carabobo1.83 |
X 3.15 |
Estudiantes Merida  4.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida:
🔮 Estudiantes Merida wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes Merida, you can win up to $2000.00!
Important information for your tip for Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Merida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-358.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Estudiantes Merida, Carabobo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Estudiantes Merida matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida, with Carabobo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Carabobo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Estudiantes Merida playing at home.
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Analysis from Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida for the Venezuela Primera Division – 5 of July
🏟️ Carabobo X Estudiantes Merida – Venezuela Primera Division
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Carabobo – Winning probability: 50.99% | Fair line: 1.96
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.23% | Fair line: 4.71
🔴 Estudiantes Merida – Winning probability: 27.78% | Fair line: 3.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carabobo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1348834 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida
Should you bet on Carabobo?
🔵 Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $423.30;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$66.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $451.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$338.50.
Is it worth betting on Estudiantes Merida?
🔴 Estudiantes Merida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $840.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$120.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carabobo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Carabobo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Carabobo.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Estudiantes Merida.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carabobo x Estudiantes Merida
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
