Caracas x Metropolitanos FC Betting tips for February 3 in Venezuela Primera Division
| 📅 3/2/2025 23:00 |
 Caracas2.04 |
X 3.00 |
Metropolitanos FC  3.42 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC:
🔮 Metropolitanos FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Metropolitanos FC, you can win up to $1710.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caracas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-128.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Caracas x Metropolitanos FC?
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Analysis from Caracas x Metropolitanos FC for the Venezuela Primera Division – 3 of February
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🏟️ Caracas X Metropolitanos FC – Venezuela Primera Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256513 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC
Is betting on Caracas worth it?
🔵 Caracas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $343.20
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.
Is betting on Metropolitanos FC worth it?
🔴 Metropolitanos FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $919.60;
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$299.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Caracas x Metropolitanos FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Caracas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Caracas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Caracas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caracas x Metropolitanos FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
