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Home » Predictions » Others » Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
Caravaggio SC Caravaggio SC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Hercilio Luz Hercilio Luz
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense

Our betting tip for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:30
Caravaggio SC Caravaggio SC
2.40
X
3.00
Hercilio Luz Hercilio Luz
2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caravaggio SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 4 Hercilio Luz matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hercilio Luz conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 2 of February

🏟️ Caravaggio SC X Hercilio Luz – Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Caravaggio SC – Winning probability: 30.93% | Fair line: 3.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.09% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 Hercilio Luz – Winning probability: 35.97% | Fair line: 2.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Caravaggio SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz

Should you bet on Caravaggio SC?

🔵 Caravaggio SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $434.00;
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$10.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hercilio Luz?

🔴 Hercilio Luz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Caravaggio SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Caravaggio SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Caravaggio SC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caravaggio SC x Hercilio Luz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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