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Home » Predictions » Others » Cardiff x Millwall Betting tips for October 1 in England Championship
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England Championship
Cardiff Cardiff
PREDICTION Millwall Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Millwall Millwall
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Cardiff x Millwall Betting tips for October 1 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Cardiff x Millwall, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:45
Cardiff Cardiff
2.90
X
3.00
Millwall Millwall
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cardiff x Millwall:

🔮 Millwall wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millwall, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Cardiff x Millwall:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cardiff in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-315.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Millwall in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Cardiff conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Cardiff as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cardiff x Millwall for the England Championship – 1 of October

🏟️ Cardiff X Millwall – England Championship
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Cardiff – Winning probability: 17.82% | Fair line: 5.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.59% | Fair line: 3.5
🔴 Millwall – Winning probability: 53.59% | Fair line: 1.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cardiff and Millwall.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cardiff x Millwall

Should you bet on Cardiff?

🔵 Cardiff: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $342.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$478.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $580.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is betting on Millwall worth it?

🔴 Millwall: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $810.00
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$350.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cardiff x Millwall

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cardiff
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cardiff x Millwall

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Cardiff and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cardiff.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Millwall.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cardiff x Millwall

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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