Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo Betting tips for September 29 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 17:00

Carlos Manucci 2.05

X 3.30

Sport Huancayo 3.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo

Some important points for the tip for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carlos Manucci in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sport Huancayo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Carlos Manucci scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Sport Huancayo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo, with Carlos Manucci as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Carlos Manucci conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo for the Peru Liga 1 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo

Is betting on Carlos Manucci worth it?

🔵 Carlos Manucci: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$25.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sport Huancayo?

🔴 Sport Huancayo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $494.50
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carlos Manucci
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Carlos Manucci and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Carlos Manucci. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carlos Manucci x Sport Huancayo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.