Carrarese x Spezia Betting tips for April 6 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 6/4/2026 17:30 |
Carrarese2.09 |
X 3.00 |
Spezia ![]() 3.70 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Carrarese x Spezia:
🔮 Carrarese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Carrarese, you can win up to $1045.00!
The main points for the tip for Carrarese x Spezia:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Carrarese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Spezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 4 Spezia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Spezia conceded at least 2 goal(s).
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Analysis from Carrarese x Spezia for the Italy Serie B – 6 of April
🏟️ Carrarese X Spezia – Italy Serie B
📅 6 of April, 2026 – 17:30
🔵 Carrarese – Winning probability: 52.83% | Fair line: 1.89
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.98% | Fair line: 4.17
🔴 Spezia – Winning probability: 23.19% | Fair line: 4.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carrarese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
How the handicap and odds moved for Carrarese x Spezia
We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Carrarese x Spezia.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Carrarese had a slight Decreased of -9.09%: the market opened with odds of @2.2 for Carrarese and now the odds are @2.0.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Raised of 6.67%: the market opened with odds of @3.0 for Draw and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The odds for Spezia had a great Raised of 17.65%: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Spezia and now the odds are @4.0.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.25 is now at -0.50 for Carrarese.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.50 and now is at 2.25 goals.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Carrarese x Spezia
When the best bet on Carrarese x Spezia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1515169 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Carrarese?
🔵 Carrarese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $577.70
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.70.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.
Is betting on Spezia worth it?
🔴 Spezia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Carrarese x Spezia
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Carrarese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carrarese x Spezia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Carrarese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Carrarese.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carrarese x Spezia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Carrarese x Spezia
Who is the favourite for Carrarese x Spezia?
According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Carrarese, with a win probability of 52.83%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!
Who will win: Carrarese or Spezia?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Carrarese is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 52.83%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Carrarese beating Spezia today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Carrarese to win approximately 53 of them against Spezia.
What are the chances of Spezia beating Carrarese today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Spezia would win about 23 of those versus Carrarese.
Which team should I bet on: Carrarese or Spezia?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Carrarese wins as the best pick, with EV of 5.82%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Carrarese paying today? See what you can win by betting on Carrarese x Spezia:
The average odds for Carrarese to beat Spezia today are 2.09. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2090.00 if Carrarese wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Spezia paying today? See what you can win by betting on Carrarese x Spezia:
The average odds for Spezia to beat Carrarese today are 3.70. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3700.00 if Spezia wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Carrarese