📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Carrick Rangers x Glenavon
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Analysis from Carrick Rangers x Glenavon for the Northern Ireland Premier – 15 of January
🏟️ Carrick Rangers X Glenavon – Northern Ireland Premier
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Carrick Rangers x Glenavon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Carrick Rangers x Glenavon
Should you bet on Carrick Rangers?
🔵 Carrick Rangers: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $485.30;
- And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$284.70.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $625.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$125.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Glenavon?
🔴 Glenavon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $543.40;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$63.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Carrick Rangers x Glenavon
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Carrick Rangers
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carrick Rangers x Glenavon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Carrick Rangers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Carrick Rangers.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Glenavon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carrick Rangers x Glenavon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
Our tips are also on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves