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Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor Betting tips for January 16 in Turkey 3.Lig Group 2

Our betting tip for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
10:00
Carsambaspor
4.50
X
3.00
Sile Yildizspor
1.83

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor

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Analysis from Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor for the Turkey 3.Lig Group 2 – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Carsambaspor X Sile Yildizspor – Turkey 3.Lig Group 2
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Carsambaspor – Winning probability: 11.93% | Fair line: 8.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.72% | Fair line: 2.72
๐Ÿ”ด Sile Yildizspor – Winning probability: 51.35% | Fair line: 1.95
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Carsambaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Carsambaspor and Sile Yildizspor.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor

Is betting on Carsambaspor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Carsambaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$460.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$110.00.

Is betting on Sile Yildizspor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sile Yildizspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – profiting $423.30;
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$66.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Carsambaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Carsambaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Carsambaspor. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Carsambaspor x Sile Yildizspor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves