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Home » Predictions » Others » Casa Pia x Rio Ave Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Cup
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h45 Portugal Cup
Casa Pia Casa Pia
PREDICTION Casa Pia wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
ODD: @1.97 Don't miss this prediction!

Casa Pia x Rio Ave Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Cup

Our betting tip for Casa Pia x Rio Ave, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
16:45
Casa Pia Casa Pia
1.97
X
3.10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
3.74

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Casa Pia x Rio Ave:

🔮 Casa Pia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casa Pia, you can win up to $985.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Casa Pia x Rio Ave:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Casa Pia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rio Ave in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Casa Pia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Rio Ave matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Casa Pia x Rio Ave, with Casa Pia as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Casa Pia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Rio Ave conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casa Pia x Rio Ave?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casa Pia x Rio Ave, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Casa Pia x Rio Ave for the Portugal Cup – 12 of January

🏟️ Casa Pia X Rio Ave – Portugal Cup
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 16:45
🔵 Casa Pia – Winning probability: 63.38% | Fair line: 1.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.18% | Fair line: 5.82
🔴 Rio Ave – Winning probability: 19.44% | Fair line: 5.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casa Pia x Rio Ave

Is it a good idea to bet on Casa Pia?

🔵 Casa Pia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $611.10;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$241.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $357.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$473.00.

Is it worth betting on Rio Ave?

🔴 Rio Ave: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $520.60;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$289.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Casa Pia x Rio Ave

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Casa Pia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casa Pia x Rio Ave

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Casa Pia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Casa Pia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Rio Ave.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casa Pia x Rio Ave

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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