Casalarreina CF x River Ebro Betting tips for April 16 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 17:30

Casalarreina CF 2.25

X 3.30

River Ebro 2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro

Important information for your tip for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Casalarreina CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on River Ebro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against River Ebro, Casalarreina CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Casalarreina CF matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Casalarreina CF x River Ebro, with Casalarreina CF as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Casalarreina CF conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Casalarreina CF conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against River Ebro. 👉 It is not a good time for Casalarreina CF as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Casalarreina CF x River Ebro for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 16 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro

Should you bet on Casalarreina CF?

🔵 Casalarreina CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on River Ebro?

🔴 River Ebro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $612.50;
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$37.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Casalarreina CF x River Ebro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Casalarreina CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Casalarreina CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Casalarreina CF.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Casalarreina CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casalarreina CF x River Ebro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.