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Home » Predictions » Others » Casarano x Real Acerrana Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Casarano Casarano
PREDICTION Casarano wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Real Acerrana Real Acerrana
ODD: @1.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Casarano x Real Acerrana Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Casarano x Real Acerrana, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
Casarano Casarano
1.25
X
5.00
Real Acerrana Real Acerrana
10.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Casarano x Real Acerrana:

🔮 Casarano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Casarano, you can win up to $625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Casarano x Real Acerrana:

👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Casarano scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Casarano x Real Acerrana?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casarano x Real Acerrana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Casarano x Real Acerrana for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Casarano X Real Acerrana – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Casarano – Winning probability: 93.84% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.25% | Fair line: 19.06
🔴 Real Acerrana – Winning probability: 0.92% | Fair line: 109.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Casarano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Casarano x Real Acerrana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casarano x Real Acerrana

Should you bet on Casarano?

🔵 Casarano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $235.00
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$175.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$750.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Acerrana?

🔴 Real Acerrana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $90.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$900.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Casarano x Real Acerrana

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Casarano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casarano x Real Acerrana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Casarano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Casarano.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casarano x Real Acerrana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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