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Home » Predictions » Others » Casertana x Potenza Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 14h00 Italy Serie C Group C
Casertana Casertana
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Potenza Potenza
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Casertana x Potenza Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Casertana x Potenza, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
14:00
Casertana Casertana
2.24
X
3.00
Potenza Potenza
3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Casertana x Potenza:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Casertana x Potenza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Casertana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 In the last 4 Casertana matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Casertana x Potenza, with Casertana as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Potenza has not lost any of them.
👉 Casertana has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Potenza playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Casertana x Potenza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Casertana x Potenza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Casertana x Potenza for the Italy Serie C Group C – 1 of December

🏟️ Casertana X Potenza – Italy Serie C Group C
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Casertana – Winning probability: 35.97% | Fair line: 2.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.50% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 Potenza – Winning probability: 27.52% | Fair line: 3.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Casertana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Casertana x Potenza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Casertana x Potenza

Is it worth betting on Casertana?

🔵 Casertana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $446.40
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $740.00;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$110.00.

Is betting on Potenza worth it?

🔴 Potenza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Casertana x Potenza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Casertana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Casertana x Potenza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Casertana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Casertana. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Casertana x Potenza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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