Caspe x Brea Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 17
| 📅 12/1/2025 15:30 |
 Caspe2.10 |
X 3.00 |
Brea  3.24 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Caspe x Brea:
🔮 Caspe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caspe, you can win up to $1050.00!
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The main points for the tip for Caspe x Brea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Caspe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Caspe x Brea for the Spain Tercera Group 17 – 12 of January
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🏟️ Caspe X Brea – Spain Tercera Group 17 |
When the best bet on Caspe x Brea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Caspe x Brea
Should you bet on Caspe?
🔵 Caspe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $572.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$92.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $620.00;
- And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Brea?
🔴 Brea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $380.80;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$449.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Caspe x Brea
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Caspe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caspe x Brea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Caspe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Caspe.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caspe x Brea
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
