Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home Β» Predictions Β» Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Paraense
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 12h30 Brazil Paraense
Castanhal Castanhal
PREDICTION No tip
Aguia de Maraba Aguia de Maraba
Don't miss this prediction!

Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba Betting tips for February 2 in Brazil Paraense

Our betting tip for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
12:30
Castanhal Castanhal
2.11
X
3.00
Aguia de Maraba Aguia de Maraba
3.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba

The main points for the tip for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Castanhal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aguia de Maraba scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Castanhal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Aguia de Maraba.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Aguia de Maraba has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba for the Brazil Paraense – 2 of February

🏟️ Castanhal X Aguia de Maraba – Brazil Paraense
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 12:30
πŸ”΅ Castanhal – Winning probability: 52.23% | Fair line: 1.91
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.68% | Fair line: 3.75
πŸ”΄ Aguia de Maraba – Winning probability: 21.09% | Fair line: 4.74
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Castanhal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Castanhal and Aguia de Maraba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba

Is it a good idea to bet on Castanhal?

πŸ”΅ Castanhal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $577.20;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$97.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

Is betting on Aguia de Maraba worth it?

πŸ”΄ Aguia de Maraba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$317.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Castanhal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Castanhal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Castanhal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Aguia de Maraba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Castanhal x Aguia de Maraba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteΓΊdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters