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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Catania x Monopoli Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 15h45 Italy Serie C Group C
Catania Catania
PREDICTION Catania wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Monopoli Monopoli
ODD: @2.08 Don't miss this prediction!

Catania x Monopoli Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Catania x Monopoli, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
15:45
Catania Catania
2.08
X
2.90
Monopoli Monopoli
3.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Catania x Monopoli:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Catania wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Catania, you can win up to $1040.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Catania x Monopoli:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Catania in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Monopoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $452.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Catania did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Monopoli scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 Catania matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Catania conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Monopoli.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Monopoli is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Catania x Monopoli?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Catania x Monopoli for the Italy Serie C Group C – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Catania X Monopoli – Italy Serie C Group C
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Catania – Winning probability: 57.17% | Fair line: 1.75
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.28% | Fair line: 4.3
๐Ÿ”ด Monopoli – Winning probability: 19.55% | Fair line: 5.12
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Catania
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Catania x Monopoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Catania x Monopoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Catania?

๐Ÿ”ต Catania: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $615.60
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$185.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$333.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monopoli?

๐Ÿ”ด Monopoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $492.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$308.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Catania x Monopoli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Catania
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Catania x Monopoli

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Catania and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Catania.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Catania x Monopoli

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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