📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Catanzaro x Padova
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Analysis from Catanzaro x Padova for the Italy Serie C Cup – 19 of January
🏟️ Catanzaro X Padova – Italy Serie C Cup
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Catanzaro and Padova.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 289741 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Catanzaro x Padova
Should you bet on Catanzaro?
🔵 Catanzaro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $333.75;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$516.25.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $797.35
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$167.35.
Is it worth betting on Padova?
🔴 Padova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $518.40;
- And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Catanzaro x Padova
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Catanzaro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Catanzaro x Padova
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Catanzaro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Catanzaro.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Padova.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Catanzaro x Padova
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves