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Home » Predictions » Others » Caudal x El San Martin Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Spain Tercera Group 2
Caudal Caudal
PREDICTION Caudal wins Probability 91% 1 X 2
El San Martin El San Martin
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Caudal x El San Martin Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Caudal x El San Martin, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Caudal Caudal
1.78
X
3.34
El San Martin El San Martin
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Caudal x El San Martin:

🔮 Caudal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caudal, you can win up to $890.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Caudal x El San Martin:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Caudal scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Caudal matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, El San Martin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Caudal is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Caudal x El San Martin?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Caudal x El San Martin:

Analysis from Caudal x El San Martin for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Caudal X El San Martin – Spain Tercera Group 2
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Caudal – Winning probability: 91.06% | Fair line: 1.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.79% | Fair line: 12.83
🔴 El San Martin – Winning probability: 1.14% | Fair line: 87.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Caudal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Caudal x El San Martin right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caudal x El San Martin

Is it a good idea to bet on Caudal?

🔵 Caudal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $709.80
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$619.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $187.20;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$732.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on El San Martin?

🔴 El San Martin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $30.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$960.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Caudal x El San Martin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Caudal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caudal x El San Martin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Caudal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Caudal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Caudal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caudal x El San Martin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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