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Home » Predictions » Caudal x Lenense Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 16h30 Spain Tercera Group 2
Caudal Caudal
PREDICTION Caudal wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Lenense Lenense
ODD: @1.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Caudal x Lenense Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Tercera Group 2

Our betting tip for Caudal x Lenense, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
16:30
Caudal Caudal
1.09
X
7.55
Lenense Lenense
17.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Caudal x Lenense:

🔮 Caudal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caudal, you can win up to $545.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Caudal x Lenense:

👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Lenense, Caudal scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Caudal matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Lenense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Caudal has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Lenense.

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Summary

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Analysis from Caudal x Lenense for the Spain Tercera Group 2 – 12 of April

🏟️ Caudal X Lenense – Spain Tercera Group 2
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Caudal – Winning probability: 99.16% | Fair line: 1.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.82% | Fair line: 122.17
🔴 Lenense – Winning probability: 0.02% | Fair line: 4762.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Caudal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Caudal x Lenense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Caudal x Lenense

Is it worth betting on Caudal?

🔵 Caudal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – profiting $89.10;
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$79.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $65.50
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$924.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lenense?

🔴 Lenense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caudal x Lenense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Caudal
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caudal x Lenense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Caudal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Caudal.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caudal x Lenense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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