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Home » Predictions » Others » Caxias RS x JK Retro Betting tips for May 11 in Brazil Serie C
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 19h30 Brazil Serie C
Caxias RS Caxias RS
PREDICTION Caxias RS wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
JK Retro JK Retro
ODD: @1.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Caxias RS x JK Retro Betting tips for May 11 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Caxias RS x JK Retro, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
19:30
Caxias RS Caxias RS
1.88
X
3.18
JK Retro JK Retro
3.92

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Caxias RS x JK Retro:

🔮 Caxias RS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caxias RS, you can win up to $940.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Caxias RS x JK Retro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Caxias RS in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Caxias RS scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 JK Retro matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Caxias RS x JK Retro for the Brazil Serie C – 11 of May

🏟️ Caxias RS X JK Retro – Brazil Serie C
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Caxias RS – Winning probability: 56.76% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.79% | Fair line: 4.03
🔴 JK Retro – Winning probability: 18.45% | Fair line: 5.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caxias RS
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Caxias RS x JK Retro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Caxias RS x JK Retro

Is it worth betting on Caxias RS?

🔵 Caxias RS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $501.60
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$71.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $545.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$205.00.

Is betting on JK Retro worth it?

🔴 JK Retro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $525.60
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$294.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Caxias RS x JK Retro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Caxias RS
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Caxias RS x JK Retro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Caxias RS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Caxias RS.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Caxias RS x JK Retro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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