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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco Betting tips for February 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
ODD: @3.16 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco Betting tips for February 2 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:00
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
1.85
X
3.16
Deportivo Mixco Deportivo Mixco
4.01

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1580.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Achuapa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Mixco in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 4 CD Achuapa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Deportivo Mixco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Deportivo Mixco as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ CD Achuapa X Deportivo Mixco – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 CD Achuapa – Winning probability: 43.60% | Fair line: 2.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.82% | Fair line: 2.58
🔴 Deportivo Mixco – Winning probability: 17.58% | Fair line: 5.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Achuapa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Achuapa and Deportivo Mixco.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco

Is betting on CD Achuapa worth it?

🔵 CD Achuapa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $374.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$186.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $842.40;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.40.

Is betting on Deportivo Mixco worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Mixco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $541.80
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$278.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Achuapa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 CD Achuapa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Achuapa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CD Achuapa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Achuapa x Deportivo Mixco

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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