CD Aguila x Motagua Betting tips for October 31 in CONCACAF Central American Cup
π
31/10/2024 00:00 |
CD Aguila 2.05 |
X 3.12 |
Motagua 3.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Aguila x Motagua:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Aguila x Motagua
Important information for your tip for CD Aguila x Motagua: π If you had bet $100 on CD Aguila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on CD Aguila x Motagua?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Aguila x Motagua, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from CD Aguila x Motagua for the CONCACAF Central American Cup – 31 of October
ποΈ CD Aguila X Motagua – CONCACAF Central American Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Aguila x Motagua right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Aguila x Motagua
Is betting on CD Aguila worth it?
π΅ CD Aguila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – profiting $525.00;
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$25.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $593.60
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$126.40.
Is betting on Motagua worth it?
π΄ Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$274.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Aguila x Motagua
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Aguila
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Aguila x Motagua
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Aguila, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Aguila.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Motagua.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Aguila x Motagua
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.