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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Aguila x Motagua Betting tips for October 31 in CONCACAF Central American Cup
Thursday, 31 October 2024, 00h00 CONCACAF Central American Cup
CD Aguila CD Aguila
PREDICTION No tip
Motagua Motagua
Don't miss this prediction!

CD Aguila x Motagua Betting tips for October 31 in CONCACAF Central American Cup

Our betting tip for CD Aguila x Motagua, Thursday, 31/10/2024
πŸ“… 31/10/2024
00:00
CD Aguila CD Aguila
2.05
X
3.12
Motagua Motagua
3.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Aguila x Motagua:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Aguila x Motagua

Important information for your tip for CD Aguila x Motagua:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Aguila in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $248.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Aguila scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 CD Aguila matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 road matches, Motagua has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on CD Aguila x Motagua?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Aguila x Motagua, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Aguila x Motagua for the CONCACAF Central American Cup – 31 of October

🏟️ CD Aguila X Motagua – CONCACAF Central American Cup
πŸ“… 31 of October, 2024 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ CD Aguila – Winning probability: 49.69% | Fair line: 2.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.84% | Fair line: 3.59
πŸ”΄ Motagua – Winning probability: 22.47% | Fair line: 4.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Aguila
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Aguila x Motagua right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212930 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Aguila x Motagua

Is betting on CD Aguila worth it?

πŸ”΅ CD Aguila: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $593.60
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.40.

Is betting on Motagua worth it?

πŸ”΄ Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Aguila x Motagua

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Aguila
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Aguila x Motagua

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CD Aguila, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Aguila.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Motagua.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Aguila x Motagua

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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