📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte
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Analysis from CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 15 of January
🏟️ CD Anaitasuna X Beti Gazte – Spain Tercera Group 4
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Anaitasuna and Beti Gazte.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte
Is it a good idea to bet on CD Anaitasuna?
🔵 CD Anaitasuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $338.40;
- And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$58.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$345.50.
Should you bet on Beti Gazte?
🔴 Beti Gazte: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $522.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$367.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CD Anaitasuna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 CD Anaitasuna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 CD Anaitasuna.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 CD Anaitasuna.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Anaitasuna x Beti Gazte
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves