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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
CD Atletico Paso CD Atletico Paso
PREDICTION CD Atletico Paso wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
CD Mostoles URJC CD Mostoles URJC
ODD: @1.98 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
11:00
CD Atletico Paso CD Atletico Paso
1.98
X
3.20
CD Mostoles URJC CD Mostoles URJC
3.42

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC:

🔮 CD Atletico Paso wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Atletico Paso, you can win up to $990.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Atletico Paso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Mostoles URJC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Atletico Paso conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Mostoles URJC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Mostoles URJC as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 1 of December

🏟️ CD Atletico Paso X CD Mostoles URJC – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 CD Atletico Paso – Winning probability: 56.23% | Fair line: 1.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.87% | Fair line: 4.02
🔴 CD Mostoles URJC – Winning probability: 18.90% | Fair line: 5.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Atletico Paso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Atletico Paso and CD Mostoles URJC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Atletico Paso?

🔵 CD Atletico Paso: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $548.80;
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on CD Mostoles URJC worth it?

🔴 CD Mostoles URJC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $459.80;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Atletico Paso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Atletico Paso, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Atletico Paso.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CD Mostoles URJC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Atletico Paso x CD Mostoles URJC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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