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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Badajoz CD Badajoz
PREDICTION CD Badajoz wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
At. Pueblonuevo At. Pueblonuevo
ODD: @1.18 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
CD Badajoz CD Badajoz
1.18
X
5.22
At. Pueblonuevo At. Pueblonuevo
12.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo:

🔮 CD Badajoz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Badajoz, you can win up to $590.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Badajoz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-48.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

🏟️ CD Badajoz X At. Pueblonuevo – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 CD Badajoz – Winning probability: 95.96% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.83% | Fair line: 26.13
🔴 At. Pueblonuevo – Winning probability: 0.21% | Fair line: 475.31
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CD Badajoz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Badajoz?

🔵 CD Badajoz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 960 times – this would give you a profit of $172.80
  • And would lose other 40 times – having a loss of -$40.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$132.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $168.80;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$791.20.

Is it worth betting on At. Pueblonuevo?

🔴 At. Pueblonuevo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 CD Badajoz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 CD Badajoz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 CD Badajoz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 At. Pueblonuevo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Badajoz x At. Pueblonuevo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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