CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 12
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29/9/2024 08:00 |
CD Buzanada 2.25 |
X 3.20 |
Villa Sta Brigida 2.82 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!
The main points for the tip for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Villa Sta Brigida in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 29 of September
๐๏ธ CD Buzanada X Villa Sta Brigida – Spain Tercera Group 12 |
When the best bet on CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida
Is betting on CD Buzanada worth it?
๐ต CD Buzanada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $425.00;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$235.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $836.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$216.00.
Should you bet on Villa Sta Brigida?
๐ด Villa Sta Brigida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $509.60;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$210.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Buzanada
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Buzanada and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Buzanada.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Villa Sta Brigida.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Buzanada x Villa Sta Brigida
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.