CD Calahorra x Subiza Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for CD Calahorra x Subiza, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

CD Calahorra 1.80

X 3.20

Subiza 4.03

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Calahorra x Subiza:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Calahorra x Subiza

Some important points for the tip for CD Calahorra x Subiza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Subiza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Calahorra scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CD Calahorra conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Subiza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Subiza as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from CD Calahorra x Subiza for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Calahorra and Subiza.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Calahorra x Subiza

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Calahorra?

🔵 CD Calahorra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $464.00
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$44.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Subiza?

🔴 Subiza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $545.40;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$274.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Calahorra x Subiza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Calahorra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Calahorra x Subiza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Calahorra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Calahorra.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Subiza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Calahorra x Subiza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.