📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B
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Analysis from CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 22 of January
🏟️ CD Colegios Diocesanos X Numancia B – Spain Tercera Group 8
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Colegios Diocesanos and Numancia B.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B
Is it worth betting on CD Colegios Diocesanos?
🔵 CD Colegios Diocesanos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $481.80;
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$80.00.
Is it worth betting on Numancia B?
🔴 Numancia B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $549.00;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$1.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Colegios Diocesanos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 CD Colegios Diocesanos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 CD Colegios Diocesanos.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Colegios Diocesanos x Numancia B
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Saturday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves