CD Colindres x Castro Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for CD Colindres x Castro, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025 16:00

CD Colindres 4.78

X 3.73

Castro 1.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Colindres x Castro:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Colindres x Castro

Some important points for the tip for CD Colindres x Castro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Colindres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Colindres x Castro, with CD Colindres as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, CD Colindres conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Castro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, CD Colindres conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Castro. 👉 It is not a good time for CD Colindres as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches. 👉 It is not a good time for Castro as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from CD Colindres x Castro for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 9 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Colindres and Castro.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Colindres x Castro

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Colindres?

🔵 CD Colindres: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $567.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$283.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $764.40;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Castro?

🔴 Castro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $342.00;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Colindres x Castro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 CD Colindres
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Colindres x Castro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 CD Colindres, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 CD Colindres.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 CD Colindres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Colindres x Castro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.