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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
CD Colonia Moscardo CD Colonia Moscardo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Illescas Illescas
ODD: @3.04 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
11:00
CD Colonia Moscardo CD Colonia Moscardo
2.30
X
3.04
Illescas Illescas
2.82

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1520.00!

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Important information for your tip for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Colonia Moscardo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Illescas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Colonia Moscardo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Illescas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Illescas matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Colonia Moscardo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Illescas conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Illescas as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 9 of March

🏟️ CD Colonia Moscardo X Illescas – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CD Colonia Moscardo – Winning probability: 31.40% | Fair line: 3.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.45% | Fair line: 2.74
🔴 Illescas – Winning probability: 32.16% | Fair line: 3.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Colonia Moscardo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas

Is betting on CD Colonia Moscardo worth it?

🔵 CD Colonia Moscardo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $734.40
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$94.40.

Is it worth betting on Illescas?

🔴 Illescas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $582.40
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CD Colonia Moscardo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 CD Colonia Moscardo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Colonia Moscardo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Illescas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Colonia Moscardo x Illescas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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