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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
PREDICTION No tip
Arroyo CP Arroyo CP
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CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
11:00
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
1.33
X
4.40
Arroyo CP Arroyo CP
7.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP

The main points for the tip for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Diocesano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Arroyo CP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, CD Diocesano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Arroyo CP, CD Diocesano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Arroyo CP matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Arroyo CP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ CD Diocesano has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Arroyo CP playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 1 of December

🏟️ CD Diocesano X Arroyo CP – Spain Tercera Group 14
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ CD Diocesano – Winning probability: 77.31% | Fair line: 1.29
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.71% | Fair line: 6.8
πŸ”΄ Arroyo CP – Winning probability: 7.98% | Fair line: 12.53
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP

Should you bet on CD Diocesano?

πŸ”΅ CD Diocesano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $254.10
  • And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.10 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$340.00.

Is betting on Arroyo CP worth it?

πŸ”΄ Arroyo CP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CD Diocesano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 CD Diocesano.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Arroyo CP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Diocesano x Arroyo CP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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