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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 14
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
PREDICTION CD Diocesano wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
At. Pueblonuevo At. Pueblonuevo
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:00
CD Diocesano CD Diocesano
1.48
X
3.80
At. Pueblonuevo At. Pueblonuevo
5.55

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo:

🔮 CD Diocesano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Diocesano, you can win up to $740.00!

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Some important points for the tip for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Diocesano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo, with CD Diocesano as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 CD Diocesano has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against At. Pueblonuevo playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo:

Analysis from CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 12 of January

🏟️ CD Diocesano X At. Pueblonuevo – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CD Diocesano – Winning probability: 83.48% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.85% | Fair line: 7.78
🔴 At. Pueblonuevo – Winning probability: 3.66% | Fair line: 27.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo

Should you bet on CD Diocesano?

🔵 CD Diocesano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 830 times – having a profit of $398.40;
  • And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$228.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$506.00.

Should you bet on At. Pueblonuevo?

🔴 At. Pueblonuevo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $182.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$778.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Diocesano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 CD Diocesano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 CD Diocesano. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Diocesano x At. Pueblonuevo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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