CD Estepona x Almeria B Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
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30/11/2024 17:00 |
 CD Estepona2.22 |
X 3.00 |
Almeria B  3.10 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for CD Estepona x Almeria B:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Estepona x Almeria B
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Important information for your tip for CD Estepona x Almeria B: π If you had bet $100 on CD Estepona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $191.0. |
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Analysis from CD Estepona x Almeria B for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 30 of November
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ποΈ CD Estepona X Almeria B – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
When the best bet on CD Estepona x Almeria B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
Is betting on CD Estepona worth it?
π΅ CD Estepona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $500.20;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$89.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $700.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it worth betting on Almeria B?
π΄ Almeria B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $525.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$225.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estepona x Almeria B
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Estepona
β½ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 CD Estepona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 CD Estepona.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estepona x Almeria B
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
