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Home » Predictions » CD Estradense x Gran Pena Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h30 Spain Tercera Group 1
CD Estradense CD Estradense
PREDICTION CD Estradense wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Gran Pena Gran Pena
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

CD Estradense x Gran Pena Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for CD Estradense x Gran Pena, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:30
CD Estradense CD Estradense
1.83
X
3.25
Gran Pena Gran Pena
4.03

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Estradense x Gran Pena:

🔮 CD Estradense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Estradense, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for CD Estradense x Gran Pena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Estradense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $6.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gran Pena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Estradense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Gran Pena conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on CD Estradense x Gran Pena?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on CD Estradense x Gran Pena, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from CD Estradense x Gran Pena for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 2 of February

🏟️ CD Estradense X Gran Pena – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 CD Estradense – Winning probability: 63.92% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.90% | Fair line: 4.18
🔴 Gran Pena – Winning probability: 12.18% | Fair line: 8.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Estradense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Estradense x Gran Pena right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Estradense x Gran Pena

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Estradense?

🔵 CD Estradense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $531.20
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$171.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gran Pena?

🔴 Gran Pena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $363.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$516.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Estradense x Gran Pena

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 CD Estradense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Estradense x Gran Pena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 CD Estradense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CD Estradense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 CD Estradense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Estradense x Gran Pena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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