CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF Betting tips for October 2 in Spain Copa Federacion

Our betting tip for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 14:00

CD Extremadura 3.46

X 3.30

UCAM Murcia CF 1.95

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF:

🔮 UCAM Murcia CF wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UCAM Murcia CF, you can win up to $975.00!

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The main points for the tip for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Extremadura in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UCAM Murcia CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 CD Extremadura did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Extremadura scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 CD Extremadura matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 CD Extremadura is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF for the Spain Copa Federacion – 2 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Extremadura and UCAM Murcia CF.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF

Should you bet on CD Extremadura?

🔵 CD Extremadura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $442.80;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$377.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $391.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$439.00.

Should you bet on UCAM Murcia CF?

🔴 UCAM Murcia CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $617.50
• And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$267.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Extremadura
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 CD Extremadura and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Extremadura.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Extremadura x UCAM Murcia CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.