CD Galapagar x Leganes B Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for CD Galapagar x Leganes B, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:30

CD Galapagar 2.80

X 3.14

Leganes B 2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Galapagar x Leganes B:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Galapagar x Leganes B

The main points for the tip for CD Galapagar x Leganes B: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Galapagar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, CD Galapagar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Leganes B matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on CD Galapagar x Leganes B?

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Analysis from CD Galapagar x Leganes B for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Galapagar and Leganes B.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Galapagar x Leganes B

Should you bet on CD Galapagar?

🔵 CD Galapagar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $706.20;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Leganes B?

🔴 Leganes B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $475.00
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Galapagar x Leganes B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 CD Galapagar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Galapagar x Leganes B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 CD Galapagar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 CD Galapagar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Leganes B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Galapagar x Leganes B

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.