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Home » Predictions » Others » CD Huetor Vega x Arenas Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 9
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 9
CD Huetor Vega CD Huetor Vega
PREDICTION No tip
Arenas Arenas
Don't miss this prediction!

CD Huetor Vega x Arenas Betting tips for March 9 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
11:00
CD Huetor Vega CD Huetor Vega
1.75
X
3.40
Arenas Arenas
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas

Important information for your tip for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Huetor Vega in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, CD Huetor Vega conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CD Huetor Vega x Arenas for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 9 of March

🏟️ CD Huetor Vega X Arenas – Spain Tercera Group 9
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 CD Huetor Vega – Winning probability: 58.09% | Fair line: 1.72
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.59% | Fair line: 3.91
🔴 Arenas – Winning probability: 16.32% | Fair line: 6.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Huetor Vega
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas

Is betting on CD Huetor Vega worth it?

🔵 CD Huetor Vega: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arenas?

🔴 Arenas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$360.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match CD Huetor Vega x Arenas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Huetor Vega
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Huetor Vega and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 CD Huetor Vega. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Huetor Vega x Arenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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