CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico Betting tips for February 8 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 18:15

CD Los Chankas 1.75

X 3.10

Alianza Atletico 4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Los Chankas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $603.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Atletico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, CD Los Chankas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Alianza Atletico, CD Los Chankas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alianza Atletico matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for CD Los Chankas vs Alianza Atletico?

Lets analyze the match between CD Los Chankas and Alianza Atlético in Perus Liga 1, which will take place at Estadio Los Chankas, the rightful home of the home team. 🏟️

📈 Table and performance analysis: Alianza Atlético is better positioned (5th) compared to Los Chankas (10th), indicating recent greater consistency. However, Los Chankas has a great home record with 4 wins and only 1 loss in their last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 2 goals per game and conceding only 1. Meanwhile, Alianza Atlético away has a reasonable performance with fewer goals scored (1 goal per game) and also about 1 goal conceded per match.

📰 Recent news: The highlight is the Argentine forward from Alianza Atlético, the teams top scorer with 11 goals this season, who is motivated after a bold message to opponents. This could boost the visiting teams morale to seek a positive result away from home. On the other hand, there are no negative news about the home team playing at their usual stadium.

Using median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: home win ~48%, draw ~30%, away win ~22%. Considering the stronger offensive stats of the home team on their turf and the extra motivation of the visitor via recent news, I adjust my fair probabilities to approximately: CD Los Chankas win ~45%, draw ~28%, Alianza Atlético win ~27%.

Thus, the fair odds would be approximately: CD Los Chankas @2.22 | Draw @3.57 | Alianza Atlético @3.70.

Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (home @1.55 / draw @3.9 / away @5.75), there is clear value in betting against the home team — as their odds are very low compared to my fair estimate — while the draw shows moderate positive value (~9% EV) due to higher odds than my fair prediction; the away win bet appears overvalued by the bookmakers without fully reflecting its true chance (~35% EV).

Final suggestion: The recommended bet is on draw, as it offers good expected value (>5%) considering the tactical balance expected from the defensive strength of both teams and their recent balanced history; additionally, the Bets Kenya model also suggests a high positive EV for the draw (+24%). Do I disagree with the models suggestion to bet so strongly on a draw? No! I fully agree! It’s a good opportunity for bettors seeking safe value in this balanced match.

Always remember: betting involves risks! Use this analysis as support for your personal judgment 😉⚽️

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Analysis from CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico for the Peru Liga 1 – 8 of February

Latest news on the match between CD Los Chankas and Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atlético: Alianza Atlético is gearing up for the upcoming Liga 1 match in Trujillo against Universitario, where the teams top scorer recently broke the silence with a bold message aimed at rivals, prompting Universitarios management to issue a warning about the danger Alianza poses on their home turf; meanwhile, the Argentine forward, who scored 11 goals this season, is attracting interest from one of Limas biggest clubs for a potential transfer in 2026, and the last encounter between the teams ended with a 2-0 defeat for Alianza Atlético.

Universitario:

Table analysis for the game between CD Los Chankas and Alianza Atletico

CD Los Chankas: Currently holding 10th place in the overall standings and in the Apertura table with 1 point after the first match (0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), CD Los Chankas enters this game still at the start of the season in Liga 1 Peru. With a goal difference of zero, the team needs to secure a victory to earn its first 3 points and improve its position on the table. The match against Alianza Atletico is important to gain momentum in the championship and strengthen the pursuit of a spot at the top of the table, especially to move away from mid-table positions. The pressure is moderate, as many rounds are still ahead, but starting well is crucial to avoid falling behind.

Alianza Atletico: Alianza Atletico is in 6th place in the overall and Apertura tables, with 3 points from 1 game (1 win). The goal difference of +1 shows they started the competition well. For the team, maintaining this positive streak in the second game is important to position themselves well among the teams that can qualify for international competitions (Copa Sudamericana). A win in this game would boost the teams confidence and increase chances of fighting for qualification spots. Therefore, the match is highly important to continue the good campaign and achieve their goals of reaching the top spots.

Summary: This match in the 2nd round of the Apertura Tournament of Liga 1 Peru has a HIGH level of importance for both teams. CD Los Chankas seeks its first 3 points to start a solid trajectory and escape the mid-table zone, while Alianza Atletico aims to keep their initial momentum to compete for international positions. Although it is still early in the season, the result will influence the initial morale and standings, adding considerable pressure to the duel. ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Los Chankas and Alianza Atletico.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1475875 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on CD Los Chankas?

🔵 CD Los Chankas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $330.00
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$54.00.

Is betting on Alianza Atletico worth it?

🔴 Alianza Atletico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $660.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$120.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 CD Los Chankas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 CD Los Chankas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 CD Los Chankas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Alianza Atletico.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for CD Los Chankas x Alianza Atletico