CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno Betting tips for October 2 in El Salvador Apertura

Our betting tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 18:00

CD Luis Angel Firpo 2.10

X 3.20

Municipal Limeno 3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno

Important information for your tip for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Luis Angel Firpo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Municipal Limeno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, CD Luis Angel Firpo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Municipal Limeno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Municipal Limeno, CD Luis Angel Firpo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno, with CD Luis Angel Firpo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 CD Luis Angel Firpo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Municipal Limeno playing at home.

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Analysis from CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno for the El Salvador Apertura – 2 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Luis Angel Firpo?

🔵 CD Luis Angel Firpo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $473.00
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$97.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $594.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Is betting on Municipal Limeno worth it?

🔴 Municipal Limeno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 CD Luis Angel Firpo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 CD Luis Angel Firpo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Luis Angel Firpo.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Luis Angel Firpo x Municipal Limeno

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.