CD Mafra x Penafiel Betting tips for April 14 in Portugal Segunda Liga
π
14/4/2025 19:15 |
![]() 2.40 |
X 3.10 |
Penafiel ![]() 2.81 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Mafra x Penafiel:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for CD Mafra x Penafiel
Some important points for the tip for CD Mafra x Penafiel: π If you had bet $100 on CD Mafra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. |

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Analysis from CD Mafra x Penafiel for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 14 of April
ποΈ CD Mafra X Penafiel – Portugal Segunda Liga |
When the best bet on CD Mafra x Penafiel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1303016 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Mafra x Penafiel
Is betting on CD Mafra worth it?
π΅ CD Mafra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $602.00
- And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$32.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$70.00.
Should you bet on Penafiel?
π΄ Penafiel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $470.60;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$269.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Mafra x Penafiel
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Mafra
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Mafra x Penafiel
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 CD Mafra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CD Mafra.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CD Mafra.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Mafra x Penafiel
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.